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Wyszukujesz frazę "probabilistic modelling" wg kryterium: Temat


Wyświetlanie 1-2 z 2
Tytuł:
Probabilistic evaluation of deterioration processes with maintenance activities
Autorzy:
Sugier, J.
Anders, G. J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069615.pdf
Data publikacji:
2011
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
deterioration modelling
probabilistic methods
maintenance policy
risk assessment
Opis:
Reliable operation of contemporary complex systems depends on selecting efficient maintenance policy, which often must take into account not only the reliability, but also economic factors. In this work, we present an approach which allows evaluation of various possible maintenance scenarios with respect to these two areas. The method is based on the concept of a life curve and discounted cost used to study the effect of equipment aging under different maintenance strategies. The deterioration process is first described by a Markov model and then its various characteristics are used to develop the equipment life curve and to quantify other reliability parameters. Based on these data, effects of various “what-if” maintenance scenarios can be examined and their efficiency compared. Simple life curves are combined to model equipment deterioration undergoing diverse maintenance actions, while computing other parameters of the model allows evaluation of additional critical factors, such as probability of equipment failure. Additionally, the paper deals with the problem of the model adjustment so that the computed frequencies are close to the historical values, which is very important in practical applications of the method.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2011, 2, 1; 177--184
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Methods for the treatment of common cause failures in redundant systems
Autorzy:
Berg, H. P.
Görtz, R.
Kesten, J.
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2069575.pdf
Data publikacji:
2007
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Morski w Gdyni. Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
Tematy:
nuclear power plant
probabilistic safety assessment
simulation
common cause failure
modelling
Opis:
Dependent failures are extremely important in reliability analysis and must be given adequate treatment so as to minimize gross underestimation of reliability. German regulatory guidance documents for PSA stipulate that model parameters used for calculating frequencies should be derived from operating experience in a transparent manner. Progress has been made with the process oriented simulation (POS) model for common cause failure (CCF) quantification. A number of applications are presented for which results obtained from established CCF models are available, focusing on cases with high degree of redundancy and small numbers of observed events.
Źródło:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association; 2007, 1; 1--8
2084-5316
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
    Wyświetlanie 1-2 z 2

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