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Wyświetlanie 1-2 z 2
Tytuł:
Demographic aspects of the development of the German state Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
Autorzy:
Jażewicz, Iwona
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1199435.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020-03-31
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Gdański. Instytut Geografii
Tematy:
population
birth rate
migrations
real growth
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
Opis:
This publication presents selected aspects of the demographic development of East Germany based on the example of the state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, which after the reunification of Germany in 1990 found itself in a new socio-economic situation. The main goal of the study was to recognize the mechanisms, regularities and directions of changes in the population, to identify the determinants and consequences of changes in terms of reproductive behaviors, and to identify new migratory behaviors of the society. The conducted research showed that the demographic situation of the borderland of state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern radically changed after the reunification of Germany. At that time, the processes described in the theory of the second demographic transition began. In particular, they concerned a slump in the number of births and a decrease in female fertility, while mortality remained at the same level. In addition, emigration to the neighboring old federal states of Germany in search of better living and working conditions deepened the depopulation processes, led to deformation of demographic structures and, consequently, to the progressive process of demographic aging. Some alleviation of the demographic situation occurred as a result of the inflow of Asian and African immigrants of a relatively young age structure and high biological resilience.
Źródło:
Journal of Geography, Politics and Society; 2020, 10, 1; 23-32
2084-0497
2451-2249
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Geography, Politics and Society
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Analysis of demographic processes in Poland and the Baltic States since the end of the XVIII century and forecast up to 2096
Autorzy:
Manakov, Andrei
Suvorkov, Pavel
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1201896.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017-12-29
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Gdański. Instytut Geografii
Tematy:
birth rate
mortality
migrations
modeling
demographic forecast
Polska
Estonia
Latvia
Lithuania
Opis:
Negative demographic tendencies are some of the most serious problems of development of post-Socialist countries. Goal of this research is historical analysis and forecast of demographic processes in Poland and the Baltic States (Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania). The demographic forecast is prepared on the basis of revision of forecast model of the Population Division of United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs. Scenario approach and simulation multi-factor modeling act as the main methods of this research. One of the key objectives is critical analysis of use of the hypothesis of stabilization of migration components of demographic processes in scenarios of UN Secretariat. According to the most probable scenario, Latvia (-49% of modern population) can become the leader in expected depopulation within the next 80 years among the considered countries, smaller indicators of depopulation are expected in Lithuania (-43%), Poland (-38%) and Estonia (-34%).
Źródło:
Journal of Geography, Politics and Society; 2017, 7, 4; 5-13
2084-0497
2451-2249
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Geography, Politics and Society
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
    Wyświetlanie 1-2 z 2

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