- Tytuł:
-
Dylematy modelowania gospodarki narodowej
Dilemmas of Modeling the National Economy - Autorzy:
- Biolik, Józef
- Powiązania:
- https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/589771.pdf
- Data publikacji:
- 2013
- Wydawca:
- Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Katowicach
- Tematy:
-
Gospodarka narodowa
Modelowanie procesów gospodarczych
Prognozowanie
Economic process modeling
Forecasting
National economy - Opis:
- This paper presents problems of the construction of econometric models (MES-1 and MGS) in the Polish economy. These models were constructed in the 80's by a team led by Professor Kolonko. Model of the Polish economy - MES - 1 covered areas of: employment, production, national income, public money fund, consumption and foreign trade. The main object of this model was prediction. This model had a high compliance measured by determination ratio. Estimated prognosis had relatively high accuracy. To estimate the predictive accuracy of the model measures ex-ante and ex-post were used. MGS model was used to the simulation analysis. The transition to a market economy and changes in the economic system in the early 90's led to abandonment of further work on the use of constructed models.
- Źródło:
-
Studia Ekonomiczne; 2013, 152; 11-19
2083-8611 - Pojawia się w:
- Studia Ekonomiczne
- Dostawca treści:
- Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł