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Wyszukujesz frazę "models of survival" wg kryterium: Wszystkie pola


Wyświetlanie 1-3 z 3
Tytuł:
Survival regression models for single event and competing risks based on pseudo-observations
Autorzy:
Wycinka, Ewa
Jurkiewicz, Tomasz
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/1359165.pdf
Data publikacji:
2019-04-25
Wydawca:
Główny Urząd Statystyczny
Tematy:
probability of default
Opis:
Survival data is a special type of data that measures the time to an event of interest. The most important feature of survival data is the presence of censored observations. An observation is said to be right-censored if the time of the observation is, for some reason, shorter than the time to the event. If no censoring occurs in the data, standard statistical models can be used to analyse the data. Pseudo-observations can replace censored observations and thereby allow standard statistical models to be used. In this paper, a pseudo-observation approach was applied to single-event and competing-risks analysis, with special attention paid to the properties of the pseudo-observations. In the empirical part of the study, the use of regression models based on pseudo-observations in credit-risk assessment was investigated. Default, defined as a delay in payment, was considered to be the event of interest, while prepayment of credit was treated as a possible competing risk. Credits that neither default nor are prepaid during the follow-up were censored observations. Typical application characteristics of the credit and creditor were the covariates in the regression model. In a sample of retail credits provided by a Polish financial institution, regression models based on pseudo-observations were built for the single-event and competing-risks approaches. Estimates and discriminatory power of these models were compared to the Cox PH and Fine-Gray models.
Źródło:
Statistics in Transition new series; 2019, 20, 1; 171-188
1234-7655
Pojawia się w:
Statistics in Transition new series
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Estimating the probability of leaving unemployment for older people in Poland using survival models with censored data
Autorzy:
Grzenda, Wioletta
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/20311945.pdf
Data publikacji:
2023-06-13
Wydawca:
Główny Urząd Statystyczny
Tematy:
employment
older workers
proportional hazard model
time-dependent ROC curve
Opis:
Current demographic changes require greater participation of people aged 50 or older in the labour market. Previous research shows that the chances of returning to employment decrease with the length of the unemployment period. In the case of older people who have not reached the statutory retirement age, these chances also depend on the time they have left to retirement. Our study aims to assess the probability of leaving unemployment for people aged 50-71 based on their characteristics and the length of the unemployment period. We use data from the Labour Force Survey for 2019–2020. The key factors determining employment status are identified using the proportional hazard model. We take these factors into account and use the direct adjusted survival curve to show how the probability of returning to work in Poland changes as people age. Due to the fact that not many people take up employment around their retirement age, an in-depth evaluation of the accuracy of predictions obtained via the models is crucial to assess the results. Hence, in this paper, a time-dependent ROC curve is used. Our results indicate that the key factor that influences the return to work after an unemployment period in the case of older people in Poland is whether they reached the age of 60. Other factors that proved important in this context are the sex and the education level of older people.
Źródło:
Statistics in Transition new series; 2023, 24, 3; 241-256
1234-7655
Pojawia się w:
Statistics in Transition new series
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Bayesian modelling for semi-competing risks data in the presence of censoring
Autorzy:
Bhattacharjee, Atanu
Dey, Rajashree
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/20312017.pdf
Data publikacji:
2023-06-13
Wydawca:
Główny Urząd Statystyczny
Tematy:
censoring
illness-death models
accelerated failure time model
Bayesian Survival Analysis
semi-competing risks
Opis:
In biomedical research, challenges to working with multiple events are often observed while dealing with time-to-event data. Studies on prolonged survival duration are prone to having numerous possibilities. In studies on prolonged survival, patients might die of other causes. Sometimes in the survival studies, patients experienced some events (e.g. cancer relapse) before dying within the study period. In this context, the semi-competing risks framework was found useful. Similarly, the prolonged duration of follow-up studies is also affected by censored observation, especially interval censoring, and right censoring. Some conventional approaches work with time-to-event data, like the Cox-proportional hazard model. However, the accelerated failure time (AFT) model is more effective than the Cox model because it overcomes the proportionality hazard assumption. We also observed covariates impacting the time-to-event data measured as the categorical format. No established method currently exists for fitting an AFT model that incorporates categorical covariates, multiple events, and censored observations simultaneously. This work is dedicated to overcoming the existing challenges by the applications of R programming and data illustration. We arrived at a conclusion that the developed methods are suitable to run and easy to implement in R software. The selection of covariates in the AFT model can be evaluated using model selection criteria such as the Deviance Information Criteria (DIC) and Log-pseudo marginal likelihood (LPML). Various extensions of the AFT model, such as AFT-DPM and AFT-LN, have been demonstrated. The final model was selected based on minimum DIC values and larger LPML values.
Źródło:
Statistics in Transition new series; 2023, 24, 3; 201-211
1234-7655
Pojawia się w:
Statistics in Transition new series
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
    Wyświetlanie 1-3 z 3

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