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Wyszukujesz frazę "Granger" wg kryterium: Temat


Wyświetlanie 1-4 z 4
Tytuł:
Co-movements of NAFTA stock markets: Granger‑causality analysis
Autorzy:
Folfas, Paweł
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/557673.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016-03-30
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Poznaniu
Tematy:
NAFTA, stock markets, Granger-causality
Opis:
The paper scrutinizes the causal relationship between performance of American, Canadian and Mexican stock markets. It is aimed at answering the question as to whether there is a one way or two way causal link between the performance of stock markets (or possibly no causality at all) in the case of NAFTA members during 1992–1993 (pre-NAFTA period) and 1994–2013 (NAFTA in force). The study finds bivariate Granger causality for American and Canadian indexes in the periods: 1980–1988 and 1994–2013. Additionally the American index Granger-caused Mexican index during all the included periods, apart from 1992–1993, but the Canadian index did not Granger-cause the Mexican index at all. Moreover the Mexican index was a Granger-cause of the Canadian index in years 1994–2013 and a Granger-cause of the American index during period 1992–1993.
Źródło:
Economics and Business Review; 2016, 2(16), 1; 53-65
2392-1641
Pojawia się w:
Economics and Business Review
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
An analysis of causal relationship between economic growth and financial development for Turkey: A MODWT-Granger causality test
Autorzy:
Abar, Hayri
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2131143.pdf
Data publikacji:
2022-10-07
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Poznaniu
Tematy:
economic growth
Granger causality
wavelet transform
financial development
Opis:
This study aims to investigate the relationship between financial development and economic growth in different time horizons for Turkey. In this study an ensemble of wavelet analysis and Granger causality test were used. PSC was used to represent financial development and GDP was used to represent growth. The annual data used are for the period 1961–2018. The result obtained for a one year period shows that the demand-following hypothesis is valid for Turkey. Financial development is the Granger cause of growth and positively affects growth. The financial sector should be supported for growth in the short term. While there is no causal relationship for the 2–4 year period, bidirectional causality relationships were determined for the periods of 4–8 years, 8–16 years and 16–32 years. Because variables are a Granger cause of each other and affect each other in a positive direction supporting the financial sector is a preferable policy when the purpose is to achieve growth in the long run.
Źródło:
Economics and Business Review; 2022, 8, 3; 59-81
2392-1641
Pojawia się w:
Economics and Business Review
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Social and economic development of Ukraine: Modelling the migration factor impact
Autorzy:
Vasyltsiv, Taras
Mulska, Olha
Osinska, Oksana
Makhonyuk, Oleksandr
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2131144.pdf
Data publikacji:
2022-10-07
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Poznaniu
Tematy:
economic growth
social development
migration
remittances
causality
Granger test
gaps
Opis:
The paper aims to analyse the dependence of the economic and social development of Ukraine on migration factors (human resources and remittances) in the years 2002–2020. It proves the strength of the impact of human resources outflow and remittances on the labour market (employment) and other variables capturing the level of economic and social development. Based on the calculated social and economic development composite indicators the paper detects the migration gaps in the development of the economic system and social domain depending on the human resources outflow and remittances inflow. The results of the empirical research show a positive causal relationship between social development environments and migration and a mixed impact of the migration factor on economic system.
Źródło:
Economics and Business Review; 2022, 8, 3; 27-58
2392-1641
Pojawia się w:
Economics and Business Review
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
How Google Trends can improve market predictions — the case of the Warsaw Stock Exchange
Autorzy:
Kropiński, Paweł
Anholcer, Marcin
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2058079.pdf
Data publikacji:
2022-07-11
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Poznaniu
Tematy:
Granger causality
Warsaw Stock Exchange
economic policy uncertainty
WIG20
Google Trends
predictions
Opis:
The aim of this paper is to investigate interdependencies between the WIG20 index and economic policy uncertainty (EPU) related keywords quantiefid by a Google Trends search index. Tests for two periods from January 2015 till December 2019 and from June 2016 till May 2021 have been performed. This allowed the period of relative stability from the time of economic shock caused by the COVID-19 pandemics followed by various restrictions imposed by the governments to be distinguished. A bivariate VAR model to selected search terms and the value of the WIG20 index was applied. Aeftr using AIC to establish the optimal number of lags the Granger cau sality test was performed. The increased empirical relationship has been conrfimed be tween twelve EPU related terms and changes in the WIG20 index in the second period versus six terms for the pre-COVID period. It was also found that in the post-COVID period the intensity of reverse relations increased.
Źródło:
Economics and Business Review; 2022, 8, 2; 7-28
2392-1641
Pojawia się w:
Economics and Business Review
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
    Wyświetlanie 1-4 z 4

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