- Tytuł:
- Forecasting GDP growth rate in Ukraine with alternative models
- Autorzy:
-
Karayuz, I
Bidyuk, P. - Powiązania:
- https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/118047.pdf
- Data publikacji:
- 2015
- Wydawca:
- Polskie Towarzystwo Promocji Wiedzy
- Tematy:
-
Regressive model
Bayesian network
short-term forecasting
GDP of Ukraine - Opis:
- The problem of constructing mathematical model for short-term fore-casting of GDP is considered. First, extended autoregression is constru-cted that takes two additional independent variables into consideration. The model resulted provides a possibility for generating short-term forecasts of GDP though not of high quality. Another model was constructed in the form of a Bayesian network. The model turned out to be better than the multiple regression, it provides quite good estimates for probabilities of GDP growth direction.
- Źródło:
-
Applied Computer Science; 2015, 11, 3; 88-97
1895-3735 - Pojawia się w:
- Applied Computer Science
- Dostawca treści:
- Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł