- Tytuł:
- Modelling of transport system operational reliability a Markov approach
- Autorzy:
-
Smolarek, Leszek
Ziemska, Monika - Powiązania:
- https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/243419.pdf
- Data publikacji:
- 2019
- Wydawca:
- Instytut Techniczny Wojsk Lotniczych
- Tematy:
-
transport
road transport
simulation
Markov model
semi-Markov model - Opis:
- The workability of a transport system is associated with performance and operational reliability. Operational reliability provides a measure of the probability that a transport system will realize transport process as intended. Performance reliability is an adequacy measure of transport process realization under specific environmental and traffic conditions. Transport system can be modelled as repairable, multistate, non-homogenous rectangular or dendrite system. This article provides the Markov and semi Markov models for estimation of the operational and performance reliability of city transport system. The system is semi homogenous it means that serial subsystems have the same reliability function. The reliability of any serial subsystem is exponential. The distribution of the repair time is any probability distribution. In case where the probability distribution of the repair time is exponential, the Markov process is used to construct simulation model. The simulation model was applied at Microsoft Excel. Many stochastic models in engineering, logistic and even finance or insurance are setup in a spreadsheet for simulation. The semi Markov model of the multistate reliability of repaired system is applied to the street system. The embedded Markov chain was used to count stationary probabilities. The possibility of application of the results is illustrated by an example for the systems with rectangular or dendrite shaped accordingly, consist of three types of elements.
- Źródło:
-
Journal of KONES; 2019, 26, 4; 227-234
1231-4005
2354-0133 - Pojawia się w:
- Journal of KONES
- Dostawca treści:
- Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł