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Tytuł:
MACROECONOMIC FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN THE EURO AREA
Autorzy:
López-Pérez, Víctor
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/517341.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Instytut Badań Gospodarczych
Tematy:
macroeconomic uncertainty
Gini index
performance-based weights
Survey of Professional Forecasters
European Central Bank
Opis:
This paper estimates aggregate measures of macroeconomic uncertainty from individual density forecasts by professional forecasters. The methodology used in the paper improves on the existing literature along two dimensions. Firstly, it controls for changes to the composition of the panel of respondents to the survey. And secondly, it assigns more weight to the information submitted by forecasters with better forecasting performance. Using data from the European Central Bank’s Survey of Professional Forecasters from 1999 Q1 to 2014 Q3, the paper finds that the effects of changes in the composition of the panel on aggregate uncertainty can be large in a statistical and economic sense. It also finds that the estimates of aggregate uncertainty that use performance-based weights differ significantly from the simple averages used in the literature and their dynamics are more consistent with the dynamics displayed by the estimates of uncertainty computed from financial indicators.
Źródło:
Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy; 2016, 11, 1; 9-41
1689-765X
2353-3293
Pojawia się w:
Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Unconventional monetary policy of the European Central Bank: A brief recapitulation
Autorzy:
Skibińska-Fabrowska, Ilona
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/610616.pdf
Data publikacji:
2019
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Marii Curie-Skłodowskiej. Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Marii Curie-Skłodowskiej
Tematy:
monetary policy
unconventional instruments of monetary policy
European Central Bank
financial crisis
quantitative easing
Opis:
The financial and economic crisis that has hit many economies in recent years has significantly increased the activity of central banks. After using the standard instruments of conducting monetary policy, in view of the obstruction of monetary impulse transmission channels, they reached for non-standard instruments. Among them, asset purchase programs played a significant role. The European Central Bank (ECB) launched the largest asset purchase programme (APP) of this type in 2014 and expired in December 2018. The aim of the undertaken activities was to improve the situation on the financial market and stimulate economic growth. The article reviews the literature and results of research on the effects of the program and indicates the possibility of using the ECB’s experience in conducting monetary policy by the National Bank of Poland.
The financial and economic crisis that has hit many economies in recent years has significantly increased the activity of central banks. After using the standard instruments of conducting monetary policy, in view of the obstruction of monetary impulse transmission channels, they reached for non-standard instruments. Among them, asset purchase programs played a signifciant role. The European Central Bank (ECB) launched the largest asset purchase programme (APP) of this type in 2014 and expired in December 2018. The aim of the undertaken activities was to improve the situation on the financial market and stimulate economic growth. The article reviews the literature and results of research on the effects of the program and indicates the possibility of using the ECB’s experience in conducting monetary policy by the National Bank of Poland.
Źródło:
Annales Universitatis Mariae Curie-Skłodowska, sectio H – Oeconomia; 2019, 53, 3
0459-9586
Pojawia się w:
Annales Universitatis Mariae Curie-Skłodowska, sectio H – Oeconomia
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
European Banking Union – an institutional analysis
Autorzy:
Majewska-Jurczyk, Barbara
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/14133835.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020-12-17
Wydawca:
Wyższa Szkoła Bankowa we Wrocławiu
Tematy:
European Union
Banking Union
European Central Bank
Single Supervisory Mechanism
Single Resolution Mechanism
Deposit Insurance Scheme
Opis:
Aim: The Banking Union is an important step towards a genuine Economic and Monetary Union. The strengthening of the European banking system has become a topic of debate since the 2008 crisis when it became clear that stability and security of the system security may require increased supervision over operations conducted. The Banking Union was created to avoid the situation that taxpayers are first in line to pay for bailing out ailing banks. The Banking Union consists of three pillars: 1) the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM), which centralizes supervision of European banks around the European Central Bank, 2) the Single Resolution Mechanism (SRM), which the main purpose is to ensure the efficient resolution for recapitalization failing banks, and 3) the European Deposit Insurance Scheme (EDIS), which is still unfinished. The creation of the Banking Union is accompanied by a remarkable transfer of sovereignty to the European level. This article aims to provide an overview of the changes unfolding across the Banking Union from a law and economics perspective and to explain the role of the European Central Bank in supervision over the banking system, which is different from the policy of controlling prices through determining the level of interest rates and keeping inflation under control.   Design/Research methods: The analysis of the functioning Banking Union is based on the review of literature and analysis of reports and legal acts.   Findings: The Banking Union supports financial integration in the EU by implementing a common set of rules and a common supervisory and resolution mechanism. The creation of the Deposit Insurance Scheme is likely to contribute to the protection of banks and consumers in case of a potential future crisis. The author argues that the European Central Bank as a supervisor of the financial market should create a second supervisory body, which would significantly strengthen the system and allow the ECB more efficiently fulfill its task as chief supervisor.
Źródło:
Central European Review of Economics and Management; 2021, 5, 1; 59-75
2543-9472
Pojawia się w:
Central European Review of Economics and Management
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Causes of the outbreak of the eurozone crises: the role of the USA and the European Central Bank monetary polic
Autorzy:
Białek, Natalia
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/599513.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Wyższa Szkoła Informatyki i Zarządzania z siedzibą w Rzeszowie
Tematy:
global financial crisis
monetary policy
monetary union
eurozone
European Central Bank
Stability and Growth Pact
euro crisis
fiscal union
Opis:
This paper argues that the loose monetary policy of two of the world’s most important financial institutions—the U.S. Federal Reserve Board and the European Central Bank—were ultimately responsible for the outburst of global financial crisis of 2008-09. Unusually low interest rates in 2001- 05 compelled investors to engage in high risk endeavors. It also encouraged some governments to finance excessive domestic consumption with foreign loans. Emerging financial bubbles burst first in mortgage markets in the U.S. and subsequently spread to other countries. The paper also reviews other causes of the crisis as discussed in literature. Some of them relate directly to weaknesses inherent in the institutional design of the European Monetary Union (EMU) while others are unique to members of the EMU. It is rather striking that recommended remedies tend not to take into account the policies of the European Central Bank.
Źródło:
Finansowy Kwartalnik Internetowy e-Finanse; 2015, 11, 2; 47-63
1734-039X
Pojawia się w:
Finansowy Kwartalnik Internetowy e-Finanse
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
The European system of financial supervision – regulatory impact assessment
Autorzy:
Szpringer, Mariusz
Szpringer, Włodzimierz
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/565664.pdf
Data publikacji:
2017-10-10
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Warszawski. Wydawnictwo Naukowe Wydziału Zarządzania
Tematy:
European banking union
European Central Bank
Single Supervisory Mechanism
Single Resolution Mechanism
European Stability Mechanism Meroni, doctrine
regulatory impact assessment
Opis:
Complexity and uncertainty in the application of the regulations of the European system of financial supervision are due to the fact that its particular elements were implemented over a period of time. First, it was a system of European financial supervision authorities i.e. the European Banking Authority (EBA), the European Insurance and the Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA) and the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), whose main objective was to coordinate national actions. Then there were established the European Banking Union, including the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM), the Single Resolution Mechanism (SRM), as well as the European Stability Mechanism (ESM), which constitutes also a part of the system of support for endangered banks. Legal interpretation problems are a result of differences in the scope of competences of these entities. For example, there is uncertainty whether the regulations refer to the eurozone or the whole European Union and if they refer to banks only or to other financial institutions as well. An analysis of the SSM, the SRM or the ESM does not always offer a clear answer to questions such as: who, when and using what tools should act; when, for example, the ECB may and should correct the decisions of national supervisors; what is the role of the ESRB, if we take account of the enhanced competences of the ECB in the banking union; if and when banks may question supervisory decisions concerning, for example, establishing a buffer or classifying an institution as SIFI, etc. Similarly, the role of the EBA or the ESM is unclear in the context of the establishment of the banking union, the SSM, the SRM, the ESM and the delegation of power of the ECB and the European Commission to regulatory agencies (Meroni doctrine) or the practice of establishing regulatory agencies outside the bounds of the treaty (Pringle doctrine). Therefore the regulatory landscape in this context requires impact assessment.
Źródło:
Journal of Banking and Financial Economics; 2017, 2(8); 84-104
2353-6845
Pojawia się w:
Journal of Banking and Financial Economics
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Europejski model nadzoru finansowego – kierunki rozwoju
The European model of financial supervision. Main developments
Autorzy:
Szpringer, Włodzimierz
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2216103.pdf
Data publikacji:
2016
Wydawca:
Kancelaria Sejmu. Biuro Analiz Sejmowych
Tematy:
European Banking Union
European Central Bank
single supervisory mechanism
single resolution mechanism
european stability mechanism
Meroni, Romano and Pringle doctrine
Opis:
The complexity and uncertainty in the application of the European system of financial supervision is due to the fact that its particular concepts were implemented at different times. First, it was the system of European financial supervisors (EBA, EIOPA, ESMA), which was primarily aimed at coordination of national activities. Then, the European Banking Union was established, comprised of the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM), and the Single Resolution Mechanism (SRM), as well as the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) which must also be seen in the context of assistance to troubled banks. Difficulties of interpretation are further compounded by a lack of consistency in approach to the institutions subject to examination. Should they include only the euro zone, or the whole EU, only the banks or other institutions as well? If you take into account the SSM, SRM or ESM, it is often not very clear who and when should act what tools should be applied, For example, when the ECB may, and should, correct decisions of national supervisors and what, in the context of increasing involvement of the ECB in the banking union, is the role of the ESRB; whether and when banks can possibly challenge decisions eg. on establishing a capital buffer or inclusion on the SIFI list, etc. Also unclear is the role of the EBA and ESMA in the context of the creation of a banking union, SSM, SRM and ESM and delegation of regulatory powers of ECB and the Commission to regulatory agencies (Meroni doctrine) or creation of regulatory agencies beyond the Treaty (Pringle doctrine).
Źródło:
Zeszyty Prawnicze BAS; 2016, 1(49); 9-43
1896-9852
2082-064X
Pojawia się w:
Zeszyty Prawnicze BAS
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Wyrok Federalnego Trybunału Konstytucyjnego RFN w sprawach dotyczących decyzji Europejskiego Banku Centralnego
Judgment of the Federal Constitutional Court of Germany in matters related to decisions of the European Central Bank
Autorzy:
Jaśkowski, Marek
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/2215999.pdf
Data publikacji:
2020
Wydawca:
Kancelaria Sejmu. Biuro Analiz Sejmowych
Tematy:
principle of proportionality
judicial review of legality of EU law
Federal Constitutional Court
European Central Bank
European Union
Court of Justice of the EU
Opis:
The FCC took the position that it was bound by the judgments of the CJEU as long as the latter applied certain methods of interpretation and its judgments are not objectively arbitrary. In the case at hand, the FCC found that the CJEU manifestly failed to take into account the meaning and scope of the proportionality principle. Ultimately, the FCC independently assessed the ECB’s decisions in the light of primary EU law, while adjudicating on the consequences of finding them to be defective for the German authorities.
Źródło:
Zeszyty Prawnicze BAS; 2020, 3(67); 107-111
1896-9852
2082-064X
Pojawia się w:
Zeszyty Prawnicze BAS
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Reforma nadzoru sektora bankowego Unii Europejskiej – unia bankowa
Reform of the supervision over banks in the European Union – banking union
Autorzy:
Zielińska, Klaudia
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/659162.pdf
Data publikacji:
2015
Wydawca:
Uniwersytet Łódzki. Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego
Tematy:
unia bankowa
Jednolity Mechanizm Nadzoru
Europejski Bank Centralny
system restrukturyzacji i uporządkowanej likwidacji
system gwarantowania depozytów
banking union
Single Supervision Mechanism
Single Resolution Mechanism
Deposit Guarantee System
Opis:
The article describes the concept of creating a banking union. It analyses the structure of each of its pillars as well as their evolution during the negotiations amongst Member States. The author also describes the attitude of Poland towards the project of a banking union.
Celem artykułu jest analiza ewolucji koncepcji unii bankowej od momentu jej powstania do czasu przedstawienia ostatecznej formy jej wprowadzenia w życie, tj. do sierpnia 2014 r. W poszczególnych punktach omówione zostały trzy filary unii bankowej, a także poruszono kwestię Polski i jej stanowiska wobec nowego systemu nadzoru.
Źródło:
Acta Universitatis Lodziensis. Folia Oeconomica; 2015, 5, 316
0208-6018
2353-7663
Pojawia się w:
Acta Universitatis Lodziensis. Folia Oeconomica
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
Tytuł:
Negative Interest Rates, COVID-19, and the Finances of Listed Euro Firms
Autorzy:
von Eije, Henk
Powiązania:
https://bibliotekanauki.pl/articles/14108444.pdf
Data publikacji:
2021-12-28
Wydawca:
Wyższa Szkoła Bankowa we Wrocławiu
Tematy:
Negative interest rates
European Central Bank
German government bond yields
short-term firm financing
liquidity ratios
debtor ratios
creditor ratios
dividends
long-term borrowing cash flows
non-liquid investments
corona crisis
COVID-19
Opis:
Aim: The paper measures the impact of negative interest rates on listed firms in the original euro zone countries. It also measures the impact of the first COVID-19 year. Design / research methods: The paper uses panel data to measure the influence of the short-term ECB deposit rate and the 10-years German bond yield on short-term and long-term firm variables. Cross section fixed effects are applied to first differences and dummy variables. For liquidity and non-liquid assets the effects are also measured for small and large companies, for sectors, and for countries. Conclusions / findings: Corporate liquidity ratios and creditor ratios decline when short-term ECB-rates fall. If ECB rates are negative, liquidity ratios are further reduced by 0.6 percentage points. Declining long-term German government bond yields increase non-liquid assets, while negative yields boost these assets by 4.5% extra. In the first COVID-19 year, the investments in non-liquid assets were 7.6% smaller, while liquidity ratios increased by 2.3 percentage points. Originality / value of the article: Papers on the influence of negative interest rates and of COVID-19 on European firms are unavailable. This makes the paper relevant for firm managers and policy makers and a benchmark for future research. Implications of the research: Because the issues addressed are new, further research is valuable. One may think of comparable studies for different countries. Many other suggestions for further research are given in the conclusions.
Źródło:
Central European Review of Economics and Management; 2021, 5, 4; 117-143
2543-9472
Pojawia się w:
Central European Review of Economics and Management
Dostawca treści:
Biblioteka Nauki
Artykuł
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