Educational effects on the labor market in Poland: data analysis and modelling

Although a higher student enrollment in Poland is a pro-growth factor, it is not ruled out that it contributes to a higher unemployment through one of three channels such as: (i) negative productivity effects, (ii) excessive administrative regulations, (iii) educational mismatches. In turn, educational mismatches could be a result of the “wrong” field of study choice, lack of proper competences (skills) or over-education. Our study reveals that the expansion of students on humanities, economics/business and engineering fields of study could be one of the reasons behind higher unemployment rate, but this is not the case for science/mathematics studies. The most important aspects of modeling of labor market educational effects are discussed in the context of the graduates career path monitoring project.