The article discusses the possibility of armour penetration by PGU 14 API shells fired from the GAU-8/A cannon. The considerations focus on questions with regard to the probability of armour penetration with the initially established conditions in the project. In the analysis, the authors took into account three parameters: armour thickness, armour slope and target distance. Based on the initial parameters, the authors estimated the probability of armour penetration. The designed a fuzzy expert system in the MATLAB software as well as conducting simulation of its performance in the Simulink programmes. The authors presented the performance of the system based on twenty samples for research, which simulate different thickness of the target armour, different distance from the target and different slope of the armour. The authors presented control surfaces, due to which it is possible to analyse the system performance. They also show the simulation process in the Simulink software package with the preset values. On the basis of the created controller, it is clear that a well-developed system, which had undergone testing and optimization, is capable of calculating near reality probability values. The designed system might improve fire effectiveness of ground targets during air training and combat tasks, as well as optimizing the consumption of air-to-ground armour piercing (AP) shells.
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