Statistical Estimation and Mathematical Modelling of Tropospheric Radio Refractivity Based on Meteorological Data

To obtain optimal performance, estimation of radio refractivity is essential in planning and design of radio links/systems. The dependence of radio refractivity on different climatic parameters such as temperature, pressure, humidity and scale height is studied. The method proposed by International Telecommunication Union (ITU) is used in calculation of tropospheric radio refractivity. The main objective of this work is to formulate a mathematical equation/expression which can be used to predict/estimate the value of radio refractivity for an arbitrary day of any year, with a low error of estimation, in a local environment. Sensitivity of radio refractivity to temperature, pressure and humidity has been evaluated for a period of 5 years from 2008 to 2012, in a particular area under consideration. The results presented for tropospheric radio refractivity take into consideration both the location height and scale height parameters. The results are analysed in terms of statistical measures such as the moving averages, probability density function, monthly mean values, and their corresponding standard deviations. Finally, a mathematical model is formulated to calculate the radio refractivity for any day of a whole year. Reliability of error analysis in respect to accuracy is also shown. It was implemented in the industrial enterprise.