Integrated Impact Model on Baltic Port and Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network Safety Related to Its Operation Process…

The main aim of the paper is the adaptation of the known methods for safety modelling related to the operation process for Baltic Port and Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network. To realize this goal, the description of the four critical infrastructure networks, i.e. Baltic Port, Shipping, Ship traffic and port operation, and finally Baltic Port and Shipping are provided. The basic notations for operation process and multi-state CIN safety analysis for them are introduced. Furthermore, the Baltic Port and Shipping Critical Infrastructure Network safety function and its risk function are proposed. The practically significant critical infrastructure network safety indices like mean lifetime up to the exceeding a critical safety state, the moment when the risk function value exceeds the acceptable safety level, the component and critical infrastructure network intensities of ageing/degradation and the coefficients of operation impact on component and critical infrastructure network intensities of ageing are presented for four CIs considered in the paper.