Concept of distribution network configuration in the conditions of centralised forecasting

Introduction/background: The article presents a literature analysis related to the concept of distribution network configuration. The main determinants of network configuration and their impact on key solutions used in networks are also indicated. As a key solution related to the correct management of demand, including forecasting, the author considered centralisation in networks. The article also presents the results of research carried out on 5 distribution networks, in which the correlations between the elements of their configuration and the results of forecasts made using the tool previously created by the author are examined. Aim of the paper: The purpose of the article is to present the concept of distribution network configuration in the conditions of centralised demand forecasts, with the central unit at the level of logistics operator. In addition, the article will consider the hypothesis regarding whether the configuration of the distribution network affects the accuracy of forecasts. Materials and methods: The purpose of the article and verification of the hypothesis was carried out with the help of literature studies, results of the conducted case study, and on the basis of the results of forecasts obtained using the prognostic tool created by the author in the R environment. Results and conclusions: The article demonstrates the basic ability of a logistics operator, working in MDP in the distribution network, to make forecasts and analyse the distribution network. In addition to that, the article presents results indicating that a properly selected configuration of the distribution network has a positive effect on the accuracy of forecasts contained in it.