Predykcja czasu życia turbogeneratora na podstawie obserwacji trendu zmian poziomu wibracji

A turbogenerator like every machine shows damage through use. All its components are under the influence of different factors. Observations of development of components vibration (trends) can theoretically predict the operation time of the machine. In practice this is not a simple matter due to the presence of interaction in the studied symptom of many (often of unknown origin) factors. The article estimates the lifetime curve of selected parts of the machine using vibration symptoms. On the basis of the curve it is possible to estimate the lifetime of turbogenerator's components. In the case of slowly developing symptoms, this estimate is not possible.