The aim of the paper was to diagnose and analyse the rates of infections in Polish
voivodships, and possible consequences from both economic and social perspectives
of the changes in the levels of cases reported. For the analyses, data banks of Central
Statistical Office in Warsaw were used, in particular, information on the incidence of
infectious diseases and poisonings. The rates of changes and spatial concentration of
the phenomena were investigated in the period between 2005 and 2015. For estimates
of regional trends, the Shift-Share Analysis was adopted, and the pattern of spatial
distribution was defined on the basis of location quotients. Extreme values of location
quotients were observed in Warmińsko-Mazurskie for shigellosis, in Lubuskie for
trichinellosis, and for AIDS in Dolnośląskie. Location quotient values allowed identifying
regions with a higher spatial concentration of infectious diseases incidences, which in
turn could indicate areas and cases where preventive actions should be improved or
modified. The Shift-Share Analysis resulted in pointing out regions that recorded
a positive change in infection rates. The obtained results also demonstrated that in
some cases, the impact of structural changes influences the net rates of infections
more than the local components. The obtained results directly indicated objects
(regions) where attention should be paid to prevention. Especially, the results of
spatial distribution and concentration allowed a reliable analysis of the state of
population incidence rates, as well as answered questions concerning the origin of
rates whether the change derived from structural, local or overall tendencies. Results
could be adopted, for instance, in preventive strategies of local governments. The
estimates might be beneficial from the perspective of the healthcare system, due to
easier predictive scenarios of future infection and possible centres with the increase in
incidence.
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