Podstawy metodyczne prognozy finansowo−gospodarczej dla Lasów Państwowych

The article depicts the methodology of long−term financial and economic forecast for the State Forests. The method of forecasting Polish raw timber requirement was confined to determining the demand for timber materials whose use depends on the demand for final timber products. Timber price forecasts were carried out with the application of several methods and their reliability was evaluated using an expert’s method. The methods of assessing the timber harvest potential in the State Forests NFH in the forecast period were based on the forest management planning guidelines. Forest administration cost forecast variants were prepared. The forecasted income and expenses, as well as the financial result of the State Forests NFH were included in Excel forecast spreadsheets. The completed forecast was used in 2007 by the management of the State Forests NFH for salary negotiations with trade unions and for negotiating prices of services with forest companies.